Showing posts with label Forex. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Forex. Show all posts

Saturday, October 13, 2018

Freedom Fighter Lives to fight Another Week


The freedom fighter lives to fight another week ... with a 10% gain to boot! 

If this past two weeks is going to be an indication of how my future will be, I would be extremely excited.  I was able to earn 10% from my FXCM account trading the strength in the Japanese Yen (JPY) and trading SPX500.  

Yes, I resurrected this trading account primarily because I wanted to participate in the US stock market (which now is in a heavy correction by the way) and trade the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Index through the SPX500 and US30 CFDs respectively.  Since my background started with trading stocks, I find trailing these indices easier than trading currencies.  There's so much more volatility in these as well, making it easier to trade / scalp.



Screenshots of my trades.  My choice of weapons as you can see are MACD, RSI, Moving averages, and Fibonacci.  Normally I would just trade one way with a bias - meaning if my trading system tells me that today the SPX500 is going to be bullish then I would only enter trade signals that give me a BUY recommendation.  This time around though, I traded both ways - the market was quite indecisive and I'm glad I was able to successfully scalp both ways.

Lot sizes are at 2K only to protect my small account.  Longevity is key!  When I got a bit cocky, I traded with 5K lots.  Lo and behold, the first trade in that lot size was a loser!  I lost all my gains in an instant.  It doesn't show in the screenshot but you can see the Summary tab with a -43 written on it, meaning that trade was still open at the time I took this screenshot.

I experienced pain.  And I was uneasy during this trade.  I then remembered what Ray Dalio said about PAIN.  He said that PAIN + REFLECTION = SUCCESS.

I needed to reflect why I was feeling pain and why I was uneasy while the trade was still on going.  I realized it was because I wasn't comfortable with the position size.  Every 2-PIP move now translated into a dollar instead of just a few cents.  I was also trading my balance - or what others would refer to as Profit and Loss - instead of trading the price action.  Given the bigger lot size, just a few moves and then I would easily gain or lose 10 USD.  This was already big for me  - my mind was telling me to lock in the gains or cut my losses already even though it was only a 20 PIP move.  When I realized this, I made a mental note not to look at my P&L and just concentrate on the price action and the total movement in pips.  This made me stick to my trading system better.  It also lessened my uneasiness.  I am growing.

If you are not GROWING, then you are DYING.

After that big loss which wiped out all my gains for the past 10 days,  and even left my account in the red, I entered another trade, in the same direction.  In just 15 minutes, I got all that I lost back plus a little more.  My analysis of the movement was correct but my entry was too early ... good thing I was able to get over that previous lost right away and act in spite of my fear of losing more.  If I had not done so, I would still be in the negative right now.  But I realized that I've started to over trade and increasing my lot size although bold was being careless.  So I took a break after and decided maybe to call it a day already.

Back reading some previous posts, I realized that it was this type of impatience and carelessness that led me to blow my account in the past. Good thing I was able to check this behavior this time around.

In taking profits or buying on support, I find using the FIBONACCI retracement tool very helpful.  I'll try and write about this next time.

100 USD Net Gain 

After a couple of hours, I return to my station to trade again.  You can see my trades from the chart above.  Most of it are scalp trades, I can't believe that I am actually able to ride most of the moves in both directions.  That's the power of Fibonacci!

I'm trading with 5k lot sizes now.  It didn't make me as uneasy as I was earlier.  Could it be that my psychological wallet has now increased?  Not looking at my P&L really works.  It allows me to focus on the price action.

Here's my final account snapshot before I called it a day ...

very happy with the 10 percent gain in just 2 weeks!  If I can trade like this or better then the goal is not that far away anymore.  

BE POSITIVE

My last trade for the day was unsuccessful and it caused me about 30 USD.  So my return should have been about 13%.  You know what? I sulked and almost punished myself for ruining that last trade - I was already up about 50 pips and yet I still let it turn into a losing trade.  The reason was because I moved my target price limit up a few pips.  The market then reversed rapidly in the next 3 minutes which hit my cut loss point.  

I couldn't believe myself!  The perfectionist in me always comes out.  Instead of focusing on that 1 losing trade, why didn't I focus on still being up 10%?!  Diba?!

When you're in this business, making errors and losing trades are a daily part of it!  You should be gentle on yourself and learn to accept that losing trades are normal for a trader.  If you cannot reconcile with that fact then trading will definitely be not for you.

That last one may have been a losing trade but it wasn't a bad trade!  I just made a judgment mistake of moving up my target price without moving up my cut loss point as well.  But it was a good trade!  In trading, we can have good trades but still lose money.  Accept that fact if you want to last in this business.


Monday, March 3, 2014

Red February

Pips Be With You!


February is the month of hearts.  It's the month of romance.  Everywhere you go you see red.  And my trading performance was no exception.  Hahaha

Indeed.  My portfolio scored negatively big time in February.  There were moments when I drifted back to my impulsive self - trading recklessly just to try and recoup loses.

Regardless, February was also a month of maturity.  I actually believe that I'm starting to take a grasp of the market and learn how to trade.  I have more days earning now than losing, I think.  The only problem now is controlling the loses on days that I'm losing.  You'd think that 5 days of trading is more than enough, the thing though is Greed can still set in and you'd want to trade more and more just to try and earn more.

This is I think where position sizing and setting caps and limits to your losses and earnings will help.  All one has to do is follow that system and have the discipline to stick to it.

In the meantime, Mark So has migrated his copy trading service into a new site.  It's now called unlitrader.com.  The idea was to separate the educational materials in the old site from this new site hoping that notifications for the copy service to work more efficiently (to be delivered on time).  There's a slight improvement in the service but still notifications can arrive delayed.    

While copying Mark So's trades still doesn't guarantee success in forex trading, there are a lot of other ways you can use the service.  Aside from the basic fact of using it to copy his trades, you can also use it to confirm your analysis of the forex market.  You can also use it as a tool for contratrian trading - entering trades opposite of what was recommended.  The idea behind contrarian trading is that most Forex traders enter losing trades.  Less than 5% of Forex traders make it in the market.  So by entering trades opposite to that of what was recommended there's a good chance that you could be on the right side of the trade.

The value really with Mark So's unlitrader service, I think, is when you join the Unlitrader program.  Using fundamental and technical data analysis, the service generates recommended trades for the week.  I think I was able to replicate the service on my own - but it's highly dependent on the analysis so if you want Mark So's analysis with it, you'd have to subscribe to get his exact recommendations.  What's good about Mark So though was the fact that he discussed how he arrived at this system during his Complete Forex Trading Seminar.  While the program is expensive, it can still be worth your time.  Just don't expect to be trading successfully right after the course.  That's the sad part about all these, a lot are lured to taking the course thinking it would be that easy to make money in the Forex market.  Mark So after all is a good marketer and businessman as well.

 

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

No Set Ups Means No Trades

We're day three into the trading week and it seems like there are no clear set ups in the charts.  When there are no clear set ups that means you DO NOT TRADE.  If you can't tell from the charts what the trend is, do not trade as well.  That's one of the few things I learned last week.  It takes great effort not to trade when you're itching to get into the market fast.  

Meanwhile, my FXCM account application has been approved!  

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Monday, July 8, 2013

Forex Trading: 3rd Trade Up +158 PIPS!

--> A quick post to recap what happened during the week.

Here's the 3rd trade results using a demo account.  Went long on USD/JPY and USD/CHF copied from my awesome mentor!  Yes, I'm really liking my mentor for now.  I'm still on honeymoon stage so there's really nothing to dislike for now.

Click to enlarge - 3rd FOREX Trade (Demo account)

Thursday, July 4, 2013

Technical Analysis - Certificate of Completion (Risk Management)

The tricks of the trade are endless.  Look what I got for completing the Forex Trading Basic Course on Technical Analysis.  These people really know how to encourage you.  Hopefully the support and encouragement doesn't stop even when you've opened a live trading account already.  (Sound FX: crowd cheering and clapping! I take a bow and thank you all)

Certificate of Completion: Technical Analysis for the Happy FX Trader.  Given by Daily FX.
I found another set of online videos that will compliment the Forex Trading Videos from Mario Singh and Mark So that I posted earlier this week.

This time it's from FXCM's site called Daily FX.
Here's the link:

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Wednesday, July 3, 2013

Leverage is Your Friend (Forex Trading)

A lot of people you meet will actually discourage using high leverage to trade the forex market.  While he agrees that leverage is a double-edged sword, he actually encourages that traders use high leverage.  For Mario Singh, leverage is your friend.  And I certainly agree.  But you need to use leverage wisely.  You need to incorporate Money Management Strategies to be able to take advantage of leverage smartly.  Read the following article to learn more.



"If you plan your trade so that you are risking a small amount of capital on each trade, very high leverage will not have a negative effect.  On the contrary, low leverage can severely hamper a trader's potential for profit." - Mario Singh